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Prognosis


  • Introduction
  • Diagnosis
  • ICD-10 classification
  • Sypmtoms & subtypes
  • Epidemiology
  • Aetiology
  • Prognosis
  • Management

Because of case-to-case variability, prognosis cannot be confidently predicted for an individual case, but studies of large patient groups revealed the following prognostic indicators.

Good prognosis associated with:

  • Sudden onset
  • Precipitants
  • Family history of affective illness
  • Good premorbid adjustment

Poor prognosis associated with:

  • Early onset and/or insidious onset
  • Lack of precipitants
  • Lack of affective components
  • Abnormal premorbid personality
  • Family history
  • Low IQ
  • Negative symptoms

With treatment the average outcome rates are:

  • 25% good recovery
  • 50% chronic fluctuating course
  • 15% continuous symptoms requiring long-term care
  • 10% severe incapacity

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